Simulation Dashboard

Model performance, signal exploration, trade history, and prediction analysis.
Parameters Models
Total Profit
+$279.00
Realized profit over 1 trading day
Model Name
General Tso's Alpha
Age: 1
Ancestor: Captain Croissant
Latest Confidence
62.8
prediction_final · ISRG
Latest Potential
26.6
UP · target $268.97
Last Update
3:59 PM
Latest entry: ISRG

⬆ Signal Explorer — ISRG

End-of-day prediction review. Original UP prediction at 14:46 near $265.60. Prediction closed at 15:59 near $265.73 for $2.73 realized P/L. End-of-day price $265.73; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD +0.05%. Double bottom detected at 14:46: bullish reversal: price tested a similar support area twice with a meaningful bounce between the tests. Estimated move up toward $268.97 (1.27%). Combined outlook: UP toward $268.97, approximately 1.27%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.01). Late-day risk adjustment applied (0.93 time factor). Confidence: 62.8/100. Potential: 26.6/100.
UP · target $268.97 · expected move 1.27% · potential 26.6

Trade History

Latest simulated positions, consolidated from entry through exit. Click a trade to view its originating signal in Signal Explorer.
JD SHORT
Entry: SELL SHORT $58.27 · 01/03/2023 11:09:00
qty 144 · notional $8,390.88
$58.27
--
OPEN SHORT
ISRG LONG
Entry: BUY $265.60 · 01/03/2023 14:46:00
qty 21 · notional $5,577.60
Exit: SELL $265.73 · 01/03/2023 15:59:00
$265.60 → $265.73
+$2.73
CLOSED LONG
INTU SHORT
Entry: SELL SHORT $388.27 · 01/03/2023 12:48:00
qty 14 · notional $5,435.78
Exit: BUY TO COVER $391.32 · 01/03/2023 14:20:00
$388.27 → $391.32
-$42.70
CLOSED SHORT
INSM LONG
Entry: BUY $19.09 · 01/03/2023 15:23:00
qty 297 · notional $5,669.73
Exit: SELL $19.30 · 01/03/2023 15:52:00
$19.09 → $19.30
+$62.37
CLOSED LONG
INSM SHORT
Entry: SELL SHORT $19.59 · 01/03/2023 11:06:00
qty 350 · notional $6,856.50
Exit: BUY TO COVER $19.39 · 01/03/2023 13:03:00
$19.59 → $19.39
+$70.00
CLOSED SHORT
ILMN LONG
Entry: BUY $200.37 · 01/03/2023 11:24:00
qty 26 · notional $5,209.62
Exit: SELL $200.93 · 01/03/2023 15:59:00
$200.37 → $200.93
+$14.56
CLOSED LONG
ICPT LONG
Entry: BUY $12.45 · 01/03/2023 13:53:00
qty 523 · notional $6,511.35
Exit: SELL $12.57 · 01/03/2023 15:59:00
$12.45 → $12.57
+$62.76
CLOSED LONG
ICPT LONG
Entry: BUY $12.40 · 01/03/2023 13:19:00
qty 420 · notional $5,208.00
Exit: SELL $12.53 · 01/03/2023 13:26:00
$12.40 → $12.53
+$54.60
CLOSED LONG

Prediction Analysis

Pattern attribution and realized performance from completed simulated trades.
Closed Trades
175
Win Rate
47.43%
Avg P/L
+$1.59
Profit Factor
1.08
Avg Confidence
67.97
Open Trades
1
Patterns generating predictions
Pattern
Trades
Win Rate
P/L
Double top
63 trades
47.62%
+$350.55
Double bottom
52 trades
44.23%
-$203.94
Falling wedge
32 trades
43.75%
-$184.59
Triple bottom
11 trades
54.55%
+$117.37
Triple top
9 trades
55.56%
+$107.17
Bear flag
9 trades
33.33%
-$142.15
Most common combination
Double top
56 completed trades · 48.21% win rate · +$329.04 realized P/L
Most active: Double top generated or participated in 63 completed trades.
Best win rate among tracked patterns: Rising wedge at 62.5%.
Payoff: avg win +$43.81 · avg loss -$39.50.
Full Prediction Analysis

Recent Signals

Twenty-five most recent simulation entries. Click a symbol to inspect its chart in Signal Explorer.
SymbolSignalTargetMovePotentialConfidenceFoundMessage
ISRG ↗UP $268.97 1.27% 26.6 62.8 1900-01-01 15:59:00 End-of-day prediction review. Original UP prediction at 14:46 near $265.60. Prediction closed at 15:59 near $265.73 for $2.73 realized P/L. End-of-day price $265.73; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD +0.05%. Double bottom detected at 14:46: bullish reversal: price tested a similar support area twice with a meaningful bounce between the tests. Estimated move up toward $268.97 (1.27%). Combined outlook: UP toward $268.97, approximately 1.27%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.01). Late-day risk adjustment applied (0.93 time factor). Confidence: 62.8/100. Potential: 26.6/100.
INTU ↘DOWN $381.85 1.65% 34.1 61.9 1900-01-01 15:59:00 End-of-day prediction review. Original DOWN prediction at 12:48 near $388.27. Prediction closed at 14:20 near $391.32 for $-42.70 realized P/L. End-of-day price $391.40; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD -0.81%. Double top detected at 12:48: bearish reversal: price tested a similar resistance area twice with a meaningful pullback between the tests. Estimated move down toward $381.85 (1.65%). Combined outlook: DOWN toward $381.85, approximately 1.65%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.02). Confidence: 61.9/100. Potential: 34.1/100.
INSM ↗UP $19.37 1.44% 29.8 61.9 1900-01-01 15:59:00 End-of-day prediction review. Original UP prediction at 15:23 near $19.09. Prediction closed at 15:52 near $19.30 for $62.37 realized P/L. End-of-day price $19.18; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD +0.47%. Falling wedge detected at 15:23: confirmed bullish setup: support and resistance are both falling but converging, which can precede an upside break. Estimated move up toward $19.37 (1.45%). Double bottom detected at 15:23: bullish reversal: price tested a similar support area twice with a meaningful bounce between the tests. Estimated move up toward $19.36 (1.42%). Combined outlook: UP toward $19.37, approximately 1.44%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.21). Late-day risk adjustment applied (0.76 time factor). Confidence: 61.9/100. Potential: 29.8/100.
INSM ↓DOWN $18.99 3.09% 72.5 72.5 1900-01-01 15:59:00 End-of-day prediction review. Original DOWN prediction at 11:06 near $19.59. Prediction closed at 13:03 near $19.39 for $70.00 realized P/L. End-of-day price $19.18; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD +2.09%. Double top detected at 11:06: bearish reversal: price tested a similar resistance area twice with a meaningful pullback between the tests. Estimated move down toward $18.99 (3.09%). Combined outlook: DOWN toward $18.99, approximately 3.09%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.07). Confidence: 72.5/100. Potential: 72.5/100.
ILMN ↗UP $203.35 1.49% 28.7 57.9 1900-01-01 15:59:00 End-of-day prediction review. Original UP prediction at 11:24 near $200.37. Prediction closed at 15:59 near $200.93 for $14.56 realized P/L. End-of-day price $200.93; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD +0.28%. Double bottom detected at 11:24: bullish reversal: price tested a similar support area twice with a meaningful bounce between the tests. Estimated move up toward $203.35 (1.49%). Combined outlook: UP toward $203.35, approximately 1.49%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score -0.02). Confidence: 57.9/100. Potential: 28.7/100.
ICPT ↑UP $12.66 1.66% 38.4 69.4 1900-01-01 15:59:00 End-of-day prediction review. Original UP prediction at 13:53 near $12.45. Prediction closed at 15:59 near $12.57 for $62.76 realized P/L. End-of-day price $12.57; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD +0.96%. Double top detected at 13:53: bearish reversal: price tested a similar resistance area twice with a meaningful pullback between the tests. Estimated move down toward $12.28 (1.38%). Double bottom detected at 13:53: bullish reversal: price tested a similar support area twice with a meaningful bounce between the tests. Estimated move up toward $12.66 (1.66%). Combined outlook: UP toward $12.66, approximately 1.66%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.66). Confidence: 69.4/100. Potential: 38.4/100.
ICPT ↗UP $12.57 1.36% 26.2 57.9 1900-01-01 15:59:00 End-of-day prediction review. Original UP prediction at 13:19 near $12.40. Prediction closed at 13:26 near $12.53 for $54.60 realized P/L. End-of-day price $12.57; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD +1.37%. Double bottom detected at 13:19: bullish reversal: price tested a similar support area twice with a meaningful bounce between the tests. Estimated move up toward $12.57 (1.36%). Combined outlook: UP toward $12.57, approximately 1.36%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.08). Confidence: 57.9/100. Potential: 26.2/100.
ICPT ↓DOWN $12.27 1.58% 34.9 66.1 1900-01-01 15:59:00 End-of-day prediction review. Original DOWN prediction at 13:13 near $12.47. Prediction closed at 13:19 near $12.40 for $34.51 realized P/L. End-of-day price $12.57; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD -0.80%. Double top detected at 13:13: bearish reversal: price tested a similar resistance area twice with a meaningful pullback between the tests. Estimated move down toward $12.27 (1.58%). Double bottom detected at 13:13: bullish reversal: price tested a similar support area twice with a meaningful bounce between the tests. Estimated move up toward $12.57 (0.79%). Combined outlook: DOWN toward $12.27, approximately 1.58%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.04). Confidence: 66.1/100. Potential: 34.9/100.
ICPT ↑UP $12.60 1.32% 29.9 67.7 1900-01-01 15:59:00 End-of-day prediction review. Original UP prediction at 12:34 near $12.44. Prediction closed at 13:13 near $12.47 for $15.24 realized P/L. End-of-day price $12.57; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD +1.05%. Falling wedge detected at 12:34: confirmed bullish setup: support and resistance are both falling but converging, which can precede an upside break. Estimated move up toward $12.60 (1.32%). Combined outlook: UP toward $12.60, approximately 1.32%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.06). Confidence: 67.7/100. Potential: 29.9/100.
ICPT ↘DOWN $12.19 1.75% 33.4 57.4 1900-01-01 15:59:00 End-of-day prediction review. Original DOWN prediction at 11:54 near $12.41. Prediction closed at 12:34 near $12.44 for $-12.45 realized P/L. End-of-day price $12.57; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD -1.29%. Bear flag detected at 11:54: bearish continuation: a strong downward impulse is followed by a controlled upward-sloping consolidation. Estimated move down toward $12.19 (1.75%). Triple bottom detected at 11:54: bullish reversal: price tested a similar support area three times with rallies between the tests. Estimated move up toward $12.92 (4.11%). Combined outlook: DOWN toward $12.19, approximately 1.75%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.10). Confidence: 57.4/100. Potential: 33.4/100.
ICPT ↑UP $13.04 3.48% 66.3 66.3 1900-01-01 15:59:00 End-of-day prediction review. Original UP prediction at 11:25 near $12.60. Prediction closed at 11:37 near $12.47 for $-63.57 realized P/L. End-of-day price $12.57; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD -0.24%. Double bottom detected at 11:25: bullish reversal: price tested a similar support area twice with a meaningful bounce between the tests. Estimated move up toward $13.04 (3.48%). Combined outlook: UP toward $13.04, approximately 3.48%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score -0.01). Confidence: 66.3/100. Potential: 66.3/100.
ICPT ↑UP $12.94 2.08% 45.9 66.2 1900-01-01 15:59:00 End-of-day prediction review. Original UP prediction at 11:10 near $12.68. Prediction closed at 11:12 near $12.58 for $-48.50 realized P/L. End-of-day price $12.57; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD -0.87%. Bull flag detected at 11:10: bullish continuation: a strong upward impulse is followed by a controlled downward-sloping consolidation. Estimated move up toward $12.94 (2.08%). Combined outlook: UP toward $12.94, approximately 2.08%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.33). Confidence: 66.2/100. Potential: 45.9/100.
ICPT ↓DOWN $12.50 1.04% 23.7 68.1 1900-01-01 15:59:00 End-of-day prediction review. Original DOWN prediction at 10:38 near $12.63. Prediction closed at 11:00 near $12.73 for $-50.40 realized P/L. End-of-day price $12.57; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD +0.48%. Rising wedge detected at 10:38: confirmed bearish setup: support and resistance are both rising but converging, which can precede a downside break. Estimated move down toward $12.50 (1.04%). Triple bottom detected at 10:38: bullish reversal: price tested a similar support area three times with rallies between the tests. Estimated move up toward $12.83 (1.62%). Combined outlook: DOWN toward $12.50, approximately 1.04%. High volume confirms the setup (10-minute z-score 1.42). Confidence: 68.1/100. Potential: 23.7/100.
ICPT ↗UP $12.81 1.12% 24 64.2 1900-01-01 15:59:00 End-of-day prediction review. Original UP prediction at 10:32 near $12.67. Prediction closed at 10:38 near $12.63 for $-18.72 realized P/L. End-of-day price $12.57; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD -0.79%. Double top detected at 10:32: bearish reversal: price tested a similar resistance area twice with a meaningful pullback between the tests. Estimated move down toward $12.45 (1.76%). Double bottom detected at 10:32: bullish reversal: price tested a similar support area twice with a meaningful bounce between the tests. Estimated move up toward $12.79 (0.94%). Triple bottom detected at 10:32: bullish reversal: price tested a similar support area three times with rallies between the tests. Estimated move up toward $12.83 (1.30%). Combined outlook: UP toward $12.81, approximately 1.12%. High volume confirms the setup (10-minute z-score 1.58). Confidence: 64.2/100. Potential: 24.0/100.
ICPT ↓DOWN $12.45 1.29% 29.4 68.4 1900-01-01 15:59:00 End-of-day prediction review. Original DOWN prediction at 10:28 near $12.61. Prediction closed at 10:32 near $12.67 for $-30.48 realized P/L. End-of-day price $12.57; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD +0.32%. Double top detected at 10:28: bearish reversal: price tested a similar resistance area twice with a meaningful pullback between the tests. Estimated move down toward $12.45 (1.29%). Combined outlook: DOWN toward $12.45, approximately 1.29%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.28). Confidence: 68.4/100. Potential: 29.4/100.
ICPT ↑UP $12.86 2.1% 47.3 67.6 1900-01-01 15:59:00 End-of-day prediction review. Original UP prediction at 10:18 near $12.60. Prediction closed at 10:28 near $12.61 for $5.01 realized P/L. End-of-day price $12.57; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD -0.24%. Bull flag detected at 10:18: bullish continuation: a strong upward impulse is followed by a controlled downward-sloping consolidation. Estimated move up toward $12.86 (2.10%). Combined outlook: UP toward $12.86, approximately 2.10%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.02). Confidence: 67.6/100. Potential: 47.3/100.
ICLN ↗UP $20.03 2.07% 40.8 59.3 1900-01-01 15:59:00 End-of-day prediction review. Original UP prediction at 12:28 near $19.62. Prediction closed at 15:59 near $19.61 for $-2.73 realized P/L. End-of-day price $19.61; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD -0.05%. Double bottom detected at 12:28: bullish reversal: price tested a similar support area twice with a meaningful bounce between the tests. Estimated move up toward $20.03 (2.07%). Combined outlook: UP toward $20.03, approximately 2.07%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.08). Confidence: 59.3/100. Potential: 40.8/100.
IBKR ↓DOWN $71.73 1.06% 25.9 73.6 1900-01-01 15:59:00 End-of-day prediction review. Original DOWN prediction at 10:07 near $72.50. Prediction closed at 10:52 near $71.75 for $72.00 realized P/L. End-of-day price $71.41; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD +1.50%. Double top detected at 10:07: bearish reversal: price tested a similar resistance area twice with a meaningful pullback between the tests. Estimated move down toward $71.73 (1.06%). Combined outlook: DOWN toward $71.73, approximately 1.06%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.04). Confidence: 73.6/100. Potential: 25.9/100.
HTHT ↓DOWN $41.63 1.94% 45.8 70.8 1900-01-01 15:59:00 End-of-day prediction review. Original DOWN prediction at 15:00 near $42.45. Prediction closed at 15:29 near $42.77 for $-50.24 realized P/L. End-of-day price $42.85; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD -0.94%. Double top detected at 15:00: bearish reversal: price tested a similar resistance area twice with a meaningful pullback between the tests. Estimated move down toward $41.63 (1.94%). Combined outlook: DOWN toward $41.63, approximately 1.94%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.01). Late-day risk adjustment applied (0.87 time factor). Confidence: 70.8/100. Potential: 45.8/100.
HTHT ↑UP $42.64 1.24% 27.4 66.4 1900-01-01 15:59:00 End-of-day prediction review. Original UP prediction at 13:06 near $42.12. Prediction closed at 13:36 near $42.60 for $70.08 realized P/L. End-of-day price $42.85; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD +1.73%. Double bottom detected at 13:06: bullish reversal: price tested a similar support area twice with a meaningful bounce between the tests. Estimated move up toward $42.64 (1.24%). Combined outlook: UP toward $42.64, approximately 1.24%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score -0.02). Confidence: 66.4/100. Potential: 27.4/100.
HTHT ↘DOWN $42.76 1.27% 25.4 60 1900-01-01 15:59:00 End-of-day prediction review. Original DOWN prediction at 10:53 near $43.31. Prediction closed at 11:48 near $42.87 for $55.00 realized P/L. End-of-day price $42.85; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD +1.06%. Double top detected at 10:53: bearish reversal: price tested a similar resistance area twice with a meaningful pullback between the tests. Estimated move down toward $42.76 (1.27%). Combined outlook: DOWN toward $42.76, approximately 1.27%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.00). Confidence: 60.0/100. Potential: 25.4/100.
HTHT ↑UP $43.58 0.86% 20.2 70.7 1900-01-01 15:59:00 End-of-day prediction review. Original UP prediction at 10:31 near $43.21. Prediction closed at 10:53 near $43.31 for $15.40 realized P/L. End-of-day price $42.85; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD -0.83%. Falling wedge detected at 10:31: confirmed bullish setup: support and resistance are both falling but converging, which can precede an upside break. Estimated move up toward $43.58 (0.86%). Combined outlook: UP toward $43.58, approximately 0.86%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.10). Confidence: 70.7/100. Potential: 20.2/100.
HBAN ↘DOWN $13.93 2.25% 46.8 62.4 1900-01-01 15:59:00 End-of-day prediction review. Original DOWN prediction at 11:11 near $14.25. Prediction closed at 12:18 near $14.10 for $60.15 realized P/L. End-of-day price $14.11; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD +0.98%. Triple top detected at 11:11: bearish reversal: price tested a similar resistance area three times with pullbacks between the tests. Estimated move down toward $13.93 (2.25%). Combined outlook: DOWN toward $13.93, approximately 2.25%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score 0.54). Confidence: 62.4/100. Potential: 46.8/100.
HAS ↘DOWN $60.75 1.35% 25.5 56.6 1900-01-01 15:59:00 End-of-day prediction review. Original DOWN prediction at 15:04 near $61.58. Prediction closed at 15:59 near $61.95 for $-30.34 realized P/L. End-of-day price $61.95; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD -0.60%. Double top detected at 15:04: bearish reversal: price tested a similar resistance area twice with a meaningful pullback between the tests. Estimated move down toward $60.75 (1.35%). Combined outlook: DOWN toward $60.75, approximately 1.35%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score -0.00). Late-day risk adjustment applied (0.85 time factor). Confidence: 56.6/100. Potential: 25.5/100.
HAS ↗UP $62.41 1.51% 30.2 60 1900-01-01 15:59:00 End-of-day prediction review. Original UP prediction at 12:44 near $61.48. Prediction closed at 15:04 near $61.58 for $8.80 realized P/L. End-of-day price $61.95; move in predicted direction from entry to EOD +0.76%. Double bottom detected at 12:44: bullish reversal: price tested a similar support area twice with a meaningful bounce between the tests. Estimated move up toward $62.41 (1.51%). Combined outlook: UP toward $62.41, approximately 1.51%. Volume is neutral and does not materially confirm or reject the setup (10-minute z-score -0.13). Confidence: 60.0/100. Potential: 30.2/100.